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October 23, 2005

菊花賞と日本シリーズ

結局、菊花賞に1200円だけ投資しました。1着⑦を固定して、①②⑤⑥の変則3連単ボックス。解答は⑦-⑥-④でしたので見事にハズれました。

レースを見て改めて強い馬だと思いました。多分並みのG1クラスの馬だったら⑥にまんまと逃げ切られるのがオチだったんじゃないかな。あれをきっちり直線のみで差し切れるんだからたいしたもんだと思いました。4コーナーあたりであの位置だったのでひょっとしたらひょっとするな、と覚悟していました。ディープインパクトをものすごく応援しているわけではないですが、⑥を差し切ったときは正直ホッとしました。無敗の三冠馬おめでとう。有馬は出るんでしょうか?ファン投票1位は間違いないとは思いますが。


去年からの日本シリーズについて思うことがあります。

たかだか二年間のサンプルしか入手していないので分析が甘いのかもしれませんが、今のシステムだとパ・リーグの2位~3位のチームが有利なんだと思います。

理由は緊張感を維持したまま次のステージに臨めるということです。パ・リーグでは2~3位のチームの勝者が1位のチームと戦うので、緊張感や士気の統一性の観点からは2~3位のチームの勝者が有利だと思います。今年のソフトバンク対ロッテはロッテがハナッから飛ばして、ソフトバンクが試合感覚に慣れて巻き返しはするけれど時すでに遅し、そういう感じがしました。さらにそこで2~3位のチームが勝利することになれば、さらに緊張感が維持され、士気も上がるのでやはりセ・リーグのチームにはハンデなのではないかと思います。それは去年の西武対中日もそうでしたし、今年の日本シリーズもしかり、なんだと思います。

やはり、上昇(常勝)気流に乗っているチームは強いはずです。特にパ・リーグの2~3位のチームが日本シリーズに上がるということは、セ・リーグのチームに比べて2チームも蹴落としてきているので勢いが違うのかもしれませんね。
何か、去年も今年も日本シリーズの流れが全く同じような感じがしましたのでちょこっと分析してみました。

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